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Opinion Polls

The elections in India are a month away and here are some opinions on what will happen. The purpose of this blog entry is to visit this after the results are announced.

“Outlook & India Today”:http://www.expressindia.com/election/fullestory.php?type=ei&content_id=29064

bq. The opinion poll forecast that Vajpayee’s Bharatiya Janata Party-led coalition of nearly 20 parties would win 280-290 seats of the 543 in the Lower House of Parliament. The coalition holds 303 seats now. The poll predicted Congress would win just 103 seats, an all-time low, although a stronger showing by its allies would lift the Opposition coalition to 159-169 seats from 140 now.

bq. India Today last month forecast the coalition would win 330-340 seats. The Congress and its allies got 105-115 seats in that opinion poll.

“Resident Idiot”:http://www.sulekha.com/redirectnh.asp?cid=329246

bq. Assuming the same rate holds ? despite the allies? depleted number and reduced strength ?, the party will only win 188 seats (if it contests 350, of a total of 545).

The Resident Idiot did not even bother to comment on how many seats Congress and its allies would win.

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