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Small is beautiful - varnamvarnam
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Small is beautiful

What is common between these

* Euro-Asian snow cover in December
* Temperature over North West Europe in January
* Pressure gradient in Europe in January
* The 50 millibar wind of January/February
* Arabian Sea surface temperature in January
* Atmospheric pressure of East Asia in February
* Sea surface temperature over Southern Indian Ocean in February
* El Nino status of the previous year.

These are the factors influencing the monsoon in India. All this information is fed into the new model developed at Indian Meteorology Department. Before this, they used to consider 16 factors. Now they think only 8 is enough because European weather is also now factored in.

“Meteorologists rework model for monsoon forecast”:http://newindpress.com/Newsitems.asp?ID=IER20030506130501&Page=R&Title=Kerala&rLink=0

bq. “Instead of depending on the northern hemisphere situation in general, we are now concentrating more on the European conditions. It definitely has a bearing on our monsoon. Observers in Europe and other developed countries too have this view,” pointed out P V Joseph, former director of the Indian Meteorology Department.

The model was tested with data for the past 38 years and it has given kind of near accurate prediction. But still last years drought was not predicted by the new model too.

PS: How do they measure the surface temperature of Arabian Sea ? Thermometer ?


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